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BYU 2009 prediction contest: week #5 results

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  • #1

    BYU 2009 prediction contest: week #5 results

    Overall standings as of the Utah St game:

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           SloanHater      1   293.43    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      35      21 |
  |             OhioBlue      2   281.31    77.56    20   27.14   30.42      41      14 |
  |             kccougar      3   272.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      42      24 |
  |               SCcoug      4   264.65    64.61    20   20.00   24.61      45      13 |
  |          Parrot Head      5   256.54    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      41      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   252.39    53.49    20   14.29   19.20      49      13 |
  |                 Borg      7   251.70    75.41    20   25.71   29.70      41      13 |
  |            SoCalCoug      8   247.58    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |         TripletDaddy      9   244.29    90.00    20   35.00   35.00    38.5      17 |
  |                byu71     10   243.83    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     11   241.61    70.28    20   35.71   14.57      49      28 |
  |               Surfah     12   239.26    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  |           Rickomatic     13   238.91    70.08    20   22.86   27.22      43      13 |
  |        Clark Addison     14   233.18    55.34    20   20.00   15.34      52      20 |
  |       RobinFinderson     15   224.99    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      28      14 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           cougjunkie     16   223.57    51.43    20   15.71   15.71      52      17 |
  |               Sizzle     17   223.36    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      48      31 |
  |                Shaka     18   221.83    39.41    20    7.14   12.26      54      13 |
  |                  CJF     19   220.85    58.51    20   15.71   22.80      44       9 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   220.09    55.92    20   30.00    5.92      55      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         DrumNFeather     21   218.10    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |       WashingtonCoug     22   209.77    85.40    20   38.57   26.83      41      24 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     23   204.04    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   201.83    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      31      11 |
  |            Hot Lunch     25   200.43    63.13    20   32.86   10.27      47      34 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            Soccermom     26   200.14    31.16    20    1.43    9.73      55      10 |
  |              venkman     27   199.36    51.06    20   24.29    6.77      56      27 |
  |                 woot     28   198.29    60.00    20   20.00   20.00      49      17 |
  |              falafel     29   194.14    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  |            Donuthole     30   193.84    80.85    20   37.14   23.71      44      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           BoylenOver     31   191.34    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |              scottie     32   186.08    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      38      14 |
  |           pellegrino     33   185.50    47.64    20   10.00   17.64      49      10 |
  |             LiveCoug     34   185.16    67.71    20   27.14   20.57      48      21 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     35   184.46    71.70    20   34.29   17.41      44      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     36   184.05    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      38      17 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     37   181.99    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      38      13 |
  |            OrangeUte     38   178.22    63.83    20   24.29   19.55      38      31 |
  |        Blueintheface     39   175.42    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      45      24 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     40   174.08    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     41   172.01    61.09    20   28.57   12.52      44      34 |
  |                Solon     42   169.92    38.85    20    4.29   14.57      49       6 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     43   164.69    63.39    20   18.57   24.81      42       9 |
  |          JohnnyLingo     44   164.51    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      35      24 |
  |          Flystripper     45   159.70    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      48      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          RockyBalboa     46   145.74    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     47   132.68    67.64    20   30.00   17.64      42      31 |
  |           doctorcoug     48   127.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                Brian     49   124.86    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      43      28 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     50   121.41    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      28      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Fiyero     51   120.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SteelBlue     52   115.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     53   112.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ByuMba90     54   112.09    70.50    20   28.57   21.93      47      21 |
  |            KillerDog     55   109.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     56    97.91        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Drunk Tank     57    97.13        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              ewth8tr     58    93.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     59    92.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                YOhio     60    92.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               FMCoug     61    90.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Katy Lied     62    88.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           RC Vikings     63    87.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Viking     64    83.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SeattleUte     65    81.81     9.86     0    0.00    9.86      17      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Coach McGuirk     66    72.76     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      45 |
  |            TheBYUGuy     67    71.43    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |            wuapinmon     68    67.48    26.65    20    0.00    6.65      51       0 |
  |              Hazzard     69    64.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              snowcat     70    56.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           CougarFan3     71    51.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Art Vandelay     72    33.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     73    29.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              nikuman     74    29.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |      Teenage Dirtbag     75    29.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Danimal     75    29.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          CardiacCoug     77    28.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     78    28.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     79    25.71        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             happyone     80    25.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |    smokymountainrain     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             beefytee     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     83     5.48        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           2 Tru Blue     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               HotBox     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Maximus     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           SoonerCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                U-Ute     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 10-02-2009, 09:16 PM.
    Tags: None
  • #2
    Standings sorted by Utah St. results

    Code:
      +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          chrisrenrut     36   184.05    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      38      17 |
  |         TripletDaddy      9   244.29    90.00    20   35.00   35.00    38.5      17 |
  |           SloanHater      1   293.43    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      35      21 |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   201.83    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      31      11 |
  |             kccougar      3   272.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      42      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       WashingtonCoug     22   209.77    85.40    20   38.57   26.83      41      24 |
  |              scottie     32   186.08    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      38      14 |
  |       RobinFinderson     15   224.99    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      28      14 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     37   181.99    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      38      13 |
  |            Donuthole     30   193.84    80.85    20   37.14   23.71      44      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |          JohnnyLingo     44   164.51    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      35      24 |
  |        Blueintheface     39   175.42    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      45      24 |
  |             OhioBlue      2   281.31    77.56    20   27.14   30.42      41      14 |
  |           BoylenOver     31   191.34    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     40   174.08    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Brian     49   124.86    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      43      28 |
  |                 Borg      7   251.70    75.41    20   25.71   29.70      41      13 |
  |          RockyBalboa     46   145.74    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |       il Padrino Ute     23   204.04    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |       PaloAltoCougar     35   184.46    71.70    20   34.29   17.41      44      30 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     10   243.83    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |            TheBYUGuy     67    71.43    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |               Sizzle     17   223.36    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      48      31 |
  |             ByuMba90     54   112.09    70.50    20   28.57   21.93      47      21 |
  |          Flystripper     45   159.70    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      48      24 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                  bag     11   241.61    70.28    20   35.71   14.57      49      28 |
  |           Rickomatic     13   238.91    70.08    20   22.86   27.22      43      13 |
  |          Parrot Head      5   256.54    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      41      10 |
  |             LiveCoug     34   185.16    67.71    20   27.14   20.57      48      21 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     47   132.68    67.64    20   30.00   17.64      42      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               SCcoug      4   264.65    64.61    20   20.00   24.61      45      13 |
  |            OrangeUte     38   178.22    63.83    20   24.29   19.55      38      31 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     43   164.69    63.39    20   18.57   24.81      42       9 |
  |            Hot Lunch     25   200.43    63.13    20   32.86   10.27      47      34 |
  |         DrumNFeather     21   218.10    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SoCalCoug      8   247.58    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |            bluegoose     41   172.01    61.09    20   28.57   12.52      44      34 |
  |                 woot     28   198.29    60.00    20   20.00   20.00      49      17 |
  |                  CJF     19   220.85    58.51    20   15.71   22.80      44       9 |
  |              falafel     29   194.14    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Surfah     12   239.26    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   220.09    55.92    20   30.00    5.92      55      30 |
  |        Clark Addison     14   233.18    55.34    20   20.00   15.34      52      20 |
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   252.39    53.49    20   14.29   19.20      49      13 |
  |           cougjunkie     16   223.57    51.43    20   15.71   15.71      52      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              venkman     27   199.36    51.06    20   24.29    6.77      56      27 |
  |           pellegrino     33   185.50    47.64    20   10.00   17.64      49      10 |
  |                Shaka     18   221.83    39.41    20    7.14   12.26      54      13 |
  |                Solon     42   169.92    38.85    20    4.29   14.57      49       6 |
  |            Soccermom     26   200.14    31.16    20    1.43    9.73      55      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            wuapinmon     68    67.48    26.65    20    0.00    6.65      51       0 |
  |     Mormon Red Death     50   121.41    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      28      31 |
  |           SeattleUte     65    81.81     9.86     0    0.00    9.86      17      28 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     66    72.76     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      45 |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
    Last edited by pelagius; 10-02-2009, 09:18 PM.

    Comment

    • #3
      Standings sorted by poster name

      Code:
        +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
  |               poster   rank    total   points   win     mov      df   bpred   opred |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           2 Tru Blue     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  8BR     83     5.48        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |         Art Vandelay     72    33.25        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |                  bag     11   241.61    70.28    20   35.71   14.57      49      28 |
  |             beefytee     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            bluegoose     41   172.01    61.09    20   28.57   12.52      44      34 |
  |        Blueintheface     39   175.42    78.28    20   35.71   22.56      45      24 |
  |                 Borg      7   251.70    75.41    20   25.71   29.70      41      13 |
  |           BoylenOver     31   191.34    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |                Brian     49   124.86    76.28    20   35.71   20.57      43      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                byu71     10   243.83    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |             ByuMba90     54   112.09    70.50    20   28.57   21.93      47      21 |
  |          CardiacCoug     77    28.27        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          chrisrenrut     36   184.05    91.43    20   35.71   35.71      38      17 |
  |                  CJF     19   220.85    58.51    20   15.71   22.80      44       9 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |        Clark Addison     14   233.18    55.34    20   20.00   15.34      52      20 |
  |        Coach McGuirk     66    72.76     0.00     0    0.00    0.00      34      45 |
  |    Color Me Badd Fan     59    92.88        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           CougarFan3     71    51.43        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           cougjunkie     16   223.57    51.43    20   15.71   15.71      52      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            creekster     56    97.91        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              Danimal     75    29.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           doctorcoug     48   127.06        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Donuthole     30   193.84    80.85    20   37.14   23.71      44      24 |
  |         DrumNFeather     21   218.10    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |           Drunk Tank     57    97.13        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               DU Ute     73    29.97        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             ERCougar     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              ewth8tr     58    93.05        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              falafel     29   194.14    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Fiyero     51   120.10        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |          Flystripper     45   159.70    70.34    20   31.43   18.91      48      24 |
  |               FMCoug     61    90.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |        Goatnapper'96      6   252.39    53.49    20   14.29   19.20      49      13 |
  |             happyone     80    25.12        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              Hazzard     69    64.75        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            Hot Lunch     25   200.43    63.13    20   32.86   10.27      47      34 |
  |               HotBox     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |   HuskyFreeNorthwest     24   201.83    86.84    20   37.14   29.70      31      11 |
  |          I.J. Reilly     43   164.69    63.39    20   18.57   24.81      42       9 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       il Padrino Ute     23   204.04    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |       Jarid in Cedar     47   132.68    67.64    20   30.00   17.64      42      31 |
  |        Jeff Lebowski     40   174.08    77.33    20   38.57   18.76      45      28 |
  |          JohnnyLingo     44   164.51    80.00    20   30.00   30.00      35      24 |
  |            Katy Lied     62    88.39        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |             kccougar      3   272.06    85.86    20   40.00   25.86      42      24 |
  |            KillerDog     55   109.69        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             LiveCoug     34   185.16    67.71    20   27.14   20.57      48      21 |
  |              Maximus     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |     Mormon Red Death     50   121.41    17.64     0    0.00   17.64      28      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  | New Mexican Disaster     20   220.09    55.92    20   30.00    5.92      55      30 |
  |              nikuman     74    29.72        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       NorthShoreCoug     78    28.21        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             OhioBlue      2   281.31    77.56    20   27.14   30.42      41      14 |
  |            OrangeUte     38   178.22    63.83    20   24.29   19.55      38      31 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       PaloAltoCougar     35   184.46    71.70    20   34.29   17.41      44      30 |
  |          Parrot Head      5   256.54    68.26    20   21.43   26.83      41      10 |
  |           pellegrino     33   185.50    47.64    20   10.00   17.64      49      10 |
  |           RC Vikings     63    87.30        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |           Rickomatic     13   238.91    70.08    20   22.86   27.22      43      13 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |       RobinFinderson     15   224.99    83.41    20   34.29   29.12      28      14 |
  |          RockyBalboa     46   145.74    72.26    20   31.43   20.83      47      23 |
  |               SCcoug      4   264.65    64.61    20   20.00   24.61      45      13 |
  |              scottie     32   186.08    85.37    20   31.43   33.94      38      14 |
  |           SeattleUte     65    81.81     9.86     0    0.00    9.86      17      28 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |                Shaka     18   221.83    39.41    20    7.14   12.26      54      13 |
  |               Sizzle     17   223.36    71.28    20   38.57   12.71      48      31 |
  |       Sleeping in EQ     37   181.99    82.86    20   30.00   32.86      38      13 |
  |           SloanHater      1   293.43    88.57    20   34.29   34.29      35      21 |
  |    smokymountainrain     81    20.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |              snowcat     70    56.20        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            SoCalCoug      8   247.58    62.86    20   21.43   21.43      48      17 |
  |            Soccermom     26   200.14    31.16    20    1.43    9.73      55      10 |
  |                Solon     42   169.92    38.85    20    4.29   14.57      49       6 |
  |           SoonerCoug     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |            SteelBlue     52   115.60        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |               Surfah     12   239.26    58.28    20   15.71   22.56      45      10 |
  |      Teenage Dirtbag     75    29.63        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |             The_Tick     53   112.11        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |            TheBYUGuy     67    71.43    71.43    20   25.71   25.71      45      17 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |         TripletDaddy      9   244.29    90.00    20   35.00   35.00    38.5      17 |
  |                U-Ute     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UtahDan     79    25.71        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              UteStar     84     0.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |              venkman     27   199.36    51.06    20   24.29    6.77      56      27 |
  |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|
  |               Viking     64    83.14        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  |       WashingtonCoug     22   209.77    85.40    20   38.57   26.83      41      24 |
  |                 woot     28   198.29    60.00    20   20.00   20.00      49      17 |
  |            wuapinmon     68    67.48    26.65    20    0.00    6.65      51       0 |
  |                YOhio     60    92.00        .     .       .       .       .       . |
  +-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------+
      Last edited by pelagius; 10-02-2009, 09:19 PM.

      Comment

      • #4
        Prediction summary stats for the Utah St. game

        Code:
            variable |      mean       p50       p25       p75       min       max
-------------+------------------------------------------------------------
       bpred |     43.68     45.00     41.00     48.00     17.00     56.00
       opred |     19.96     18.50     13.00     28.00      0.00     45.00
      winner |      0.94      1.00      1.00      1.00      0.00      1.00
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by pelagius; 10-02-2009, 09:20 PM.

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